CISAC Stanford
CISAC Stanford
  • Видео 252
  • Просмотров 647 019
Dual Use Deception: How Technology Shapes International Competition
Speakers: Jane Vaynman and Tristan A. Volpe
All technology is dual use to some degree: it has both civilian and military applications. This foundational feature often makes it hard to limit military competition. In a recent International Organization article, Jane Vaynman and Tristan Volpe reveal why this is the case. They argue that the duality of technology matters because it shapes the tension between detection and disclosure at the heart of arms control: agreements must provide enough information to detect violations, but not so much that they disclose deeper security vulnerabilities. They characterize technology along two dual use dimensions: (1) the ease of distinguishing military fr...
Просмотров: 66

Видео

Lessons from the NPT Regime for India for Setting Up a Multilateral AI Governance Framework
Просмотров 20914 дней назад
Speaker: Mahima Sikand This research proposal aims to apply lessons learned from the nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament regime to the design and negotiation of a future global system for AI governance, with a particular focus on India's role and interests. The emergence of the post 1945 global order was accelerated in part by the discovery and subsequent weaponization of nuclear energy, ...
Flagging Dual-Purpose Research in the Physical Sciences
Просмотров 43Месяц назад
Speaker: Bárbara Cruvinel Santiago Dr. Bárbara Cruvinel Santiago is a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at the Stanford Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC), studying how to flag dual purpose physics research so we can prevent its weaponization. Before coming to CISAC, Bárbara got her physics Ph.D. at Columbia University working on astronomical instrumentation under a NASA FI...
The “Race Gap” in Foreign Policy Attitudes: Black and White Views on International Affairs
Просмотров 53Месяц назад
Speaker: Naima Green-Riley Historically, research on racial differences in political attitudes in the United States has focused heavily on domestic politics. Recent work indicates that Black and White Americans often hold differing views on the use of force abroad and free trade at home; however, this article shows that racial gaps on international affairs are not confined to the realm of secur...
The Nuclear Club: How America and the World Policed the Atom from Hiroshima to Vietnam
Просмотров 125Месяц назад
Speaker: Jonathan Hunt The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) is one of the most significant, observed, and contentious accords in world politics. How and why did the international community come to negotiate a treaty that divided nation-states between five authorized “nuclear-weapon States” and a teeming mass of nuclear unarmed? The Nuclear Club pushes back against interp...
Seeking Security: Threat Perception and Policy-Making in a Dangerous World
Просмотров 84Месяц назад
Speaker: Marika Landau-Wells How do U.S. policy-makers develop national security strategy in the face of newly emerging dangers? And why are many of these strategies deemed ineffective? In my book project, Seeking Security: Threat Perception and Policy-Making in a Dangerous World, I examine the way in which the cognitive processes associated with threat perception influence policy-makers’ prefe...
The Insiders' Game: How Elites Make War and Peace
Просмотров 318Месяц назад
Speaker: Elizabeth N. Saunders One of the most widely held views of democratic leaders is that they are cautious about using military force because voters can hold them accountable, ultimately making democracies more peaceful. How, then, are leaders able to wage war in the face of popular opposition, or end conflicts when the public still supports them? The Insiders’ Game sheds light on this en...
Cascading Crises and Competing Visions for the Future
Просмотров 266Месяц назад
Speaker: H.R. McMaster Russia’s war on Ukraine, Iran’s Proxy Wars in the Middle East as well as the support Russia and Iran receive from each other, China, and other states such as North Korea, have clarified the nature of geopolitical competition. It is important to understand both the history of how crucial challenges to international security developed and of the ideology, emotions and aspir...
Is Climate Change an Existential Risk?
Просмотров 4,5 тыс.Месяц назад
Speaker: Paul Edwards Catastrophic, civilization-threatening climate change is a genuine possibility within the coming century. This talk will consider evidence that a variety of climate tipping points and other planetary boundaries have already been crossed, and that climate sensitivity to greenhouse gases may be considerably higher than recent IPCC estimates. Further, modeling of cascading ri...
Algorithms & Atrocities
Просмотров 952 месяца назад
Speaker: Rhiannon Neilsen In the digital age, mass atrocity crimes are increasingly promoted and organized online. Yet, little attention has been afforded to the question of whether offensive cyberspace operations and big data analytics might be used for human protection purposes. Specifically: How might cyber-operations and online influence campaigns help protect populations from genocides, wa...
Should We Use Language Models In High-Stakes Decision-Making Scenarios?
Просмотров 902 месяца назад
Speaker: Max Lamparth The emergence of generative language models, such as the one powering ChatGPT, has sparked widespread interest due to its potential implications for the future of work and society at large. The drive to automate decision-making is reaching high-stakes applications like military applications and mental health care, where non-zero error rates lead to individual failures with...
Ukraine's Unnamed War: 2014-2022
Просмотров 3182 месяца назад
Speaker: Jesse Driscoll Naming the Russo-Ukraine War has been controversial since 2014. Why did Russian diplomats deploy the term “civil war” as a preferred descriptor until 2022 - and why did Ukrainians insist that the phrase be taboo? We assess four complementary logics for the use of the “civil war” descriptor by Russian diplomats before Russia’s full-scale invasion of 2022. First, calling t...
The 1969 Nuclear Crisis: Confusion, Contingency, and China
Просмотров 1102 месяца назад
Speakers: David Logan and Joseph Torigian What are the political effects of nuclear weapons? What are the dynamics of territorial disputes and militarized crises between nuclear-armed states? As China continues with its unprecedented nuclear modernization program and U.S.-Russian nuclear arms control agreements are cast aside, these questions have taken on new urgency. We address these question...
CISAC 40th Anniversary
Просмотров 1362 месяца назад
Panelists: Gloria Duffy, Rose Gottemoeller, Oriana Mastro, Jane Vaynman, Steve Luby, Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar, Drew Endy, Lauryn Williams, Scott Sagan, Francesca Giovannini, Benoît Pelopidas, Luis Rodriguez, Lauren Sukin On Wednesday, April 3rd, 2024, CISAC held a conference to celebrate 40 years of the Center, reflect on our past achievements, and look forward towards new knowledge for a saf...
Repurposing Rebellion: How Today’s Rebels Become Tomorrow’s Parties
Просмотров 602 месяца назад
Speaker: Sherry Zaks While rebels' electoral participation has become a focal point of scholarship on post-conflict development, the drivers and process of rebels' organizational transformation into political parties have remained elusive. Organizational theory provides a novel, yet critical, point of entry to understanding rebel-to-party transformation and the actors at the heart of it. I look...
What Does America Stand For? | Drell Lecture 2024 with Condoleezza Rice
Просмотров 7 тыс.3 месяца назад
What Does America Stand For? | Drell Lecture 2024 with Condoleezza Rice
From Local to Transnational: When Armed Groups Target Across Borders
Просмотров 413 месяца назад
From Local to Transnational: When Armed Groups Target Across Borders
The Missiles on Our Land: What 60 More Years of Land-Based Nuclear Missiles Mean for America
Просмотров 783 месяца назад
The Missiles on Our Land: What 60 More Years of Land-Based Nuclear Missiles Mean for America
The Future of Nuclear Proliferation After Ukraine
Просмотров 1833 месяца назад
The Future of Nuclear Proliferation After Ukraine
Death Dust: The Rise, Decline, and Future of Radiological Weapons Programs
Просмотров 1934 месяца назад
Death Dust: The Rise, Decline, and Future of Radiological Weapons Programs
Who Will Be With You in the Trenches Near Tehran and Beijing? A Talk With a Ukrainian MP
Просмотров 1684 месяца назад
Who Will Be With You in the Trenches Near Tehran and Beijing? A Talk With a Ukrainian MP
How the Bomb Shapes Leaders: The Psychology of Power and Prevention
Просмотров 1054 месяца назад
How the Bomb Shapes Leaders: The Psychology of Power and Prevention
The Technological Revolution in International Humanitarian Law
Просмотров 504 месяца назад
The Technological Revolution in International Humanitarian Law
Evaluating NATO Enlargement: From Cold War Victory to the Russia-Ukraine War
Просмотров 2394 месяца назад
Evaluating NATO Enlargement: From Cold War Victory to the Russia-Ukraine War
Authoritarians at the Cutting Edge: China, Innovation, and the Global Balance of Power
Просмотров 1914 месяца назад
Authoritarians at the Cutting Edge: China, Innovation, and the Global Balance of Power
The Role of Israel's Counter-Proliferation Policy in US-Israeli Relations
Просмотров 844 месяца назад
The Role of Israel's Counter-Proliferation Policy in US-Israeli Relations
Re-Inventing Vulnerability: Securing a Second Strike in an Era of High-Accuracy Sensing
Просмотров 844 месяца назад
Re-Inventing Vulnerability: Securing a Second Strike in an Era of High-Accuracy Sensing
The Stability-Instability Paradox: Managing Nuclear Escalation Risks in Ukraine
Просмотров 6117 месяцев назад
The Stability-Instability Paradox: Managing Nuclear Escalation Risks in Ukraine
Hostile Takeover: How ISIS Monopolized a Rebellion
Просмотров 1757 месяцев назад
Hostile Takeover: How ISIS Monopolized a Rebellion
Russia-Ukraine War and Air Power Theory
Просмотров 2837 месяцев назад
Russia-Ukraine War and Air Power Theory